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Poll finds PLP still in the lead

While the approval of Premier Alex Scott has slipped by nearly five percent in the last two months, more people would still vote for the PLP than the UBP ? if a general election were held tomorrow.

Principle finds in the Research Innovation telephone poll of 403 people between September 6 and 11 found that 33.6 percent would vote PLP and 29.1 percent would vote UBP, followed by 13.5 percent who would vote for neither.

Of those participating in this part of the poll, 19.5 percent refused to answer this question, while 1.8 percent said they would vote NLP, 1.2 percent would vote for and Independent party and 1.2 percent would vote for ?any other?.

It also appears the split between male and female votes for both parties is close at 32.2 percent female and 35.4 percent male votes for the PLP and 30.2 percent female and 27.7 male percent support for the UBP.

The majority of these PLP supporters fall in the $50,000 to $100,000 income group at 37.6 percent, while the majority of UBP supporters fall in the $100,000 or over income group at 29.7 percent.

On the other end of the spectrum, the UBP won more support in the lower income group of $50,000 or less at 28.2 percent where the PLP won only 26.9 percent support.

The majority of PLP supporters fell in the 36-54 age group at 37 percent, while the UBP appealed the most to the older generation of 55 and older at 39.5 percent.

In the 18-35 age group the PLP also did better than the UBP at 33.3 percent compared to 24.4 percent UBP support.

While the PLP won 28.9 percent of support from the older generation (55 and older), the UBP won 23.6 percent of the 36-54 support.

The PLP had overwhelming support from black Bermudians at 49 percent while the majority of whites supported the UBP at 62.6 percent.

However as for whites supporting the PLP, only two percent compared to the 13.4 percent black support for the UBP.

In the mixed group (black and white) 47.6 percent said they would vote for the PLP if there were an election tomorrow, while 28.6 percent would vote UBP.

Asians did not record a figure at all in this part of the poll while ?other? groups registered a zero percentage vote for the PLP, but a 28.6 percent vote in favour of the UBP.

The poll found more than half of those participating in the poll from September 6 to 11 were dissatisfied with the political climate ? a total of 62.9 percent compared to the 26.1 percent who were satisfied.

Only 10.9 percent of those participating in the poll were not sure.

When asked if they were satisfied or dissatisfied with the current political climate in Bermuda, 63.9 percent of the men said they were dissatisfied, compared to 62.1 percent of the female participants in the poll.

As for being satisfied, the poll found that 29.1 percent of the male population and 24.3 percent of females were happy.

This figure seemed to repeat itself when broken down into age groups with the younger generation (18-35) reportedly dissatisfied with the current political climate, 58.4 percent in the 36-54 age group and a whopping 73.3 percent of the 55 or older generation dissatisfied.

The figure does not fluctuate much when taking into account how many were satisfied.

In the 18-35 age group, 29.4 percent, 36-54 age group 27.3 percent and in the 55 or older group 20.8 percent were satisfied with Bermuda?s current political climate.

The poll also found that in the household income breakdown those who earned the least and the most were the most dissatisfied.

In the $50,000 group 62 percent were dissatisfied compared to the 27.2 percent who were.

In the $50,000 ? $100,000 group 61.1 percent were dissatisfied compared to the 26.9 percent who were and in the highest income group of $100,000 or more, 73.3 percent were dissatisfied compared to the 22.1 percent who were satisfied.

An interesting trend was uncovered when broken down into the racial groupings with Asians being the most satisfied and accounting for 60 percent of this vote compared to the 40 percent who were dissatisfied.

The whites who participated in the poll were also the least dissatisfied at 76.2 percent of the vote compared to 11.9 percent who were satisfied and the blacks who participated 57.1 percent were dissatisfied compared to the 33.9 percent who were.

In the mixed group (black and white) 61.5 percent were dissatisfied, while 30.8 percent were satisfied and in the ?other group? 55.6 percent were dissatisfied and none were satisfied.

However, in this group 44.4 percent were ?not sure?.