to 1991's final figure, but retailers will be trying to keep the total count down with increased vigilance and extra security.

A total of 154 cases were reported to Police by the end of October, and with the holiday shopping season moving into high gear, authorities foresee a number of new occurrences during the remaining five weeks of 1992.

Last year's tally of 168 true cases of shoplifting resulted in 75 convictions and $3,155 in fines. Sixteen of the adult offenders were jailed, and three juveniles were given corrective training at one of the youth facilities.

But out of the $20,787 in merchandise snatched, only $9,093 worth was recovered.

A Police spokesman said the most disturbing trend in shoplifting was the rise in incidents involving youths, who generally operate in groups.

The most worrisome type of retail thief however, remains the "professional'', who snatches goods on a regular basis to support a drug habit.

Kleptomaniacs, who steal solely "for kicks'' and so-called "rummies'' who target bottles of liquor are also expected to be out in force.

The season shows a dramatic rise in shoplifting because it provides the culprits with their ideal cover -- crowds.

"Many times, shop owners don't realise the goods are gone until much later, like during stocktaking,'' said the Police spokesman. "And the store's sales staff are often too busy with customers to watch for shoplifters during Christmas time.'' In anticipation, several Hamilton stores have already begun stepping up security with new electronic alarm systems, hidden cameras and plainclothes guards who patrol the stores posing as customers.

An increased Police presence can also be expected in major shopping areas around the Island as Christmas draws near. The annual totals of shoplifting incidents have been see-sawing over the past decade: 1991 168 1990 95 1989 101 1988 75 1987 118 1986 101 1985 108 1984 119 1983 158 1982 133.