<Bz29>Homebuilders show signs of optimism
Home sales gained in two of the last three months of 2006, raising hopes the current housing downturn may have touched bottom. Still, near-record numbers of unsold homes are forcing sellers to cut prices and builders to scale back new projects, suggesting that home construction will languish for months.
“Builders are starting to see the light at the end of the tunnel,” said Stephen Stanley, chief economist at RBS Greenwich Capital Markets in Greenwich, Connecticut. “Sales seem to have stabilised and mortgage applications have picked up. There are signs the free-fall in demand for homes has been arrested.”
The index was forecast to remain at 35, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg News survey of 32 economists. Estimates ranged from 31 to 36. The index averaged 42 last year.
The confidence survey asks builders to say whether sales are “good,” “fair” or “poor” and to gauge prospective buyers’ traffic.
A measure of sales expectations for the next six months jumped to 55 from 48, the first time since June that more builders were optimistic than pessimistic about future sales.
