Bermuda insurers expected to take a pounding from Floyd -- report
NEW YORK (Reuters) -- US and Bermuda-based insurers expect to take a serious pounding from Hurricane Floyd but are better protected today than they were in 1992, when the infamous Hurricane Andrew struck Florida.
Insurers, stunned by Hurricane Andrew's fury, have since scaled back their operations in the hurricane-prone Southeast and have loaded up on reinsurance designed to give them extra cash in the event of another huge catastrophe.
Hurricane Floyd, one of the strongest storms ever tracked in the Atlantic, will be the first big test of these post-Andrew strategies. And with Hurricane Gert waiting in the wings, the industry could face a damaging one-two punch.
Analysts said yesterday Bermuda insurers including global giants ACE Ltd. and XL Capital Ltd., as well as others who write property-catastophe business such as Partner Re and LaSalle Re, are particularly at risk financially. Floyd -- described as being the size of Texas -- had top winds yesterday of 135 mph (217 kph), making it a strong Category 4 hurricane.
The storm was expected to make landfall near the South Carolina-North Carolina border early this morning.
"It's the first big test since Andrew to see how these catastrophe mitigation steps have worked, and to see how well things like catastrophe securitization products work,'' said Bear Stearns analyst Michael Smith.
But, he said, Gert may pose even more of a threat than Floyd because insurers may not have sufficient reinsurance to protect them from a second powerful storm.
"Gert could be a real issue, much more so than Floyd,'' he said.
Insurers with the greatest risk from Floyd include State Farm and Allstate Corp), the nation's No. 1 and No. 2 insurers of homes and autos.
Nationwide, USAA, State Auto Financial Corp and CNA Financial Corp, and Hartford Financial Services Group Inc) also insure homes and autos in North and South Carolina.
"It is the biggest hurricane threat since Andrew, but it's still not exactly clear how much damage will be caused,'' Insurance Information Institute spokesman Steven Goldstein said.
Until the storm makes landfall, he said, it is difficult to predict the potential magnitude of the insured losses.
Hurricane Andrew still ranks as the worst catastrophe in US history in terms of insured losses, which totaled $15.5 billion.
"It was a wake-up call for the insurance industry and the state regulators,'' Goldstein said. "The fact is, before Andrew, no one believed you could have a hurricane with $15 billion in insured losses.'' Insurers have taken steps to protect themselves, and their other policyholders, by turning windstorm coverage in some coastal counties in Florida over to the state and raising deductibles for homeowners.
"This isn't going to be good in terms of the immediate earnings impact,'' SBC Warburg Dillon Read analyst Michael Lewis said.
Companies that will be closely watched include Allstate Corp, which restructured its business to reduce the threat of catastrophe losses. The company says it now faces a maximum $1 billion loss for a one-in-100 year storm.
Other insurers to watch include Hartford, Chubb Corp , State Auto and Travelers Property Casualty Corp, and Bermuda-based insurers such as ACE Ltd and XL Capital Ltd., which could face losses on their property-catastrophe reinsurance business. Bermuda's RenaissanceRe Holdings Ltd , LaSalle Re Holdings Ltd and PartnerRe Ltd, also provide property-catastrophe reinsurance and thus are at risk.
Shares of major insurers were generally up, as of midday Wednesday.
In the insurance industry, bad news can sometimes mean good news, if the losses are large enough to force insurers to raise rates.
Losses from Floyd may be large enough to help increase rates on property-catastrophe reinsurance, but analysts said they doubt the hurricane will provoke rate hikes in other lines of commercial property insurance.
