GE's shock earnings pose question over break up or sales
NEW YORK (Reuters) - General Electric Co.'s (GE) shocking first-quarter earnings miss prompted some analysts and investors to question whether the company needed to break up or at least sell off some poorly performing businesses.
But others said they remain patient, even though the share price has now dropped more than 19 percent in the seven years since current chairman and chief executive Jeff Immelt took over at the conglomerate on September 10, 2001.
The shares have also far underperformed the broader market in that period - the Standard & Poor's 500 index has gained more than 22 percent since Immelt took over. GE's shares fell almost 13 percent on Friday after the company's first-quarter earnings disappointed Wall Street.
"(The miss) forces the focus back to the portfolio," said Nicholas Heymann, an analyst with Sterne Agee in New York. "The portfolio has to change."
Mr. Heymann singled out the media and entertainment arm, NBC Universal and the health care arm as facing poor prospects in the near-term.
On GE's almost two-hour conference call on Friday, analysts repeatedly asked the company's managers whether they needed to rethink strategy and whether a structural shake-up was in order.
One analyst, Scott Davis of Morgan Stanley, compared GE to the Chicago Cubs baseball team - always showing promise, never delivering results.
"Maybe GE Capital and GE Industrial shouldn't be together anymore," he told GE's Mr. Immelt on the call.
Mr. Immelt answered: "No matter what form the company is in, it is about driving revenue growth, earnings growth...We will see when this year ends how we stack up against everybody else."
Analysts on the call were "just totally negative," said Al Meyers, co-manager of the AHA Diversified Equity Fund, which owns GE shares.
"You either believe management or you don't," Mr. Meyers said. "I think management was shooting straight."
GE should take advantage of its triple-A credit rating by snapping up bargain assets for its finance operations, he said, rather than by getting out of the business because times have gone bad.
"Why in the world would you sell it now?" Mr. Meyers said. "If you were going to sell it, you should have sold it two years ago, at the top of the market."
On the other hand, GE is taking the right steps by trying to reduce its exposure to consumer finance, said Meyers, who owns GE stock for its international sales and because of prospects for infrastructure demand.
"All of those franchises work, and they seem to work pretty well," said Eric Schoenstein, principal with Jensen Investment Management in Portland, Oregon, which manages about $3 billion in assets and holds GE shares.
Jensen, for one, is keeping its shares.
"This is a perfect opportunity to show some additional patience with General Electric, rather than throwing it out the window because of what's going on," Mr. Schoenstein said.
Still, the company could benefit from breaking off some segments, said Russell Croft, co-manager of Croft Value Fund in Baltimore, who says he's been "frustrated" with GE's stock performance.
"I think they could create some value there," Mr. Croft said.
Mr. Croft has owned GE for about four years, attracted by its international exposure and its industrial and infrastructure businesses, as well as an "innovative" health care arm.
"If they could sell off NBC or GE Money or commercial finance...and if they could take that money, up the dividend, buy back stock, invest into their higher-growing businesses, we'd probably applaud that.
"But we're not rattling the cage," Mr. Croft said. "We don't want them to rush out and sell things for 80 cents on the dollar."
Croft said the company's stagnant stock performance over the past several years is not the fault of CEO Mr. Immelt, who took over in 2001.
The company is executing its strategy and investors should be patient, AHA's Mr. Meyers said.
But Citigroup analyst Jeffrey Sprague questioned in a note to clients whether GE was effectively executing as well as it could.
"We believe the evidence is mounting that GE is too big and complex to manage effectively," he wrote. "At a minimum, we appear stuck in a framework where something is always underperforming, detracting from positives in the portfolio."
Mr. Sprague on Friday cut GE's rating to "hold" from "buy" and slashed its price target to $36 from $45.
"Although GE can point to good performance in many of its businesses...clearly the business model is not working the way it once did, especially in the eyes of investors."