PHC are effectively down but could stay up, Willow Cuts should be safe but aren’t, relegation-threatened Southampton Rangers and St George’s are in for some nervy moments between now and Sunday evening and St David’s could still blow a title race that seemed all but over a month ago.The Premier Division concludes this weekend and the only team certain of their position are Devonshire Rec, who have played all their games and are third with little prospect of that changing, unless Willow Cuts’ appeal over the abandoned game between the two is successful.For the rest the entire season comes down to one game and everything is still up for grabs.At the top of the table St David’s are six points clear of Bailey’s Bay ahead of their game against St George’s and a win should be enough to secure them a title.However, the Warriors are going into the match on the back of two consecutive defeats and are taking on a side that need to win just as badly.St George’s currently occupy the final relegation spot, just a point behind Rangers, and need several things to go their way if they are to survive. Beating St David’s would go a long way to ensuring they play top-flight cricket next season and while they can still lose and stay up, Clay Smith, the St George’s coach, isn’t thinking like that.“We have to basically win the game, that’s our first and foremost concern,” said Smith, “at the same time knowing that there are circumstances with Rangers being one point ahead, we have to be very strategic in how we go about doing that because every point is going to count.”Smith will be keeping half an eye on what happens in Rangers’ game with PHC, but will also be listening out for what is happening to Cuts.“I think the other game is just as important, Willow Cuts and Bay. If Bailey’s Bay beat Willow Cuts we just have to win, the points don’t matter. We’ll be trying to keep in touch with them but our main goal is to take care of business on our front.“We need to go into it with a game plan whereby we can get as many points as we possibly can. If we can do our part, at the end of the day I feel comfortable knowing that we should be ok.”In the race for the title, meanwhile, Bay could win the league if they beat Willow Cuts at Sea Breeze Oval, and St David’s lose.The six-point gap between the top two sides largely represents the bonus points that Bay have thrown away over the course of the season through a lack of discipline, and if they come up just short they will look back with regret at the no-balls and wides that might ultimately cost them the title.While by no means the worst offenders in the league, Bay have bowled 167 wides so far this season in 13 games at an average of 12.84 a match. On top of that they sent down 29 no-balls at 2.23 a game. A bonus point is given for bowling fewer than 10 wides, and or no balls, in a game, something Bay have done on just three ocassions costing themselves 10 bonus points in the process.Cuts, meanwhile, who are fourth and thinking about a Belco Cup spot should be safe but will be relegated if they lose to Bay and Rangers and St George’s both win.According to the latest league table, Cuts have an eight-point lead over St George’s and a seven point one over Rangers. While Rangers are expected to win on Sunday, the same can’t said for St George’s.Ultimately the battle for the final Belco Cup spot is likely to come down to Cuts, Rangers and St George’s, and who gets it could all depend on the number of bonus points they manage to secure on Sunday.“Winning and losing the toss is going to be a major difference because it could come down to one or two points, whether it be a batting point or bowling point,” said Smith. “It’s going to be that tight, so what teams do if they win the toss could be the difference between relegation and staying up.”Which just leaves PHC. The Warwick club have been near the bottom of the Premier Division for most of the season and are 14 points adrift of Rangers.More than any other team, PHC need a variety of things to go their way if they are to survive. First they will need to win the toss and bat, giving themselves a chance to grab a bonus point for scoring 250 runs or more, they will need to bowl Rangers out in less than 30 overs, grabbing another two bonus points, and get a couple more for run outs and disciplined bowling.Overall, PHC need a thumping 17-point win over Rangers, coupled with St George’s losing, while hoping neither of their rivals pick up many bonus points in their defeats.Given that the fact that PHC have only passed 200 twice this season, and have yet to pass 250, their chances are pretty slim.“I don’t know what the mathematics of the situation are, but it’s just a matter of us showing up and performing,” said PHC’s Cal Waldron. “Getting 17 points is a tall order, we’re going to have to do everything right that we have been doing wrong so far.”