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Market response after US policy decision signals shift in risk assets

Federal Reserve Policy Adjustment and Market Expectations

On December 10, 2025, the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to reduce the federal funds rate by 0.25 percentage points, placing the benchmark range at 3.50 per cent to 3.75 per cent, the lowest level in nearly three years. This marked the third consecutive rate cut in 2025, as policymakers weighed slow job growth against ongoing concerns about inflation.

Global investment markets reacted quickly. Traditionally, lower interest rates boost investor appetite for higher-risk assets by making borrowing cheaper and cash-equivalent yields less attractive. Stocks and commodities initially rallied following the decision, but markets closely tied to risk sentiment later showed mixed signals.

Short-Term Asset Movements and Risk Appetite

In the hours and days following the announcement, major risk-associated assets experienced heightened volatility. Some prices briefly rose on optimistic positioning ahead of the meeting, only to retreat as traders reassessed the Federal Reserve’s guarded outlook. Analysts attributed this pattern to a well-priced-in rate cut combined with caution about future moves.

Investors in digital assets have also been closely monitoring broader market sentiment. For example, indicators tied to alternative store-of-value assets such as the litecoin price have shown choppy behaviour, reflecting both speculative positioning and evolving expectations around liquidity conditions.

Volatility Patterns Reflect Broader Economic Signals

Despite the Federal Reserve’s easing actions, several major assets did not maintain early gains. For instance, Bitcoin briefly climbed toward higher levels before sliding back below key psychological thresholds, while other major assets also faced downward pressure. This reaction echoed a broader risk-off sentiment that surfaced as traders digested interest-rate guidance alongside weakening projections in some technology sectors.

Market observers noted that the FOMC’s cautious communication, particularly regarding the limits of future rate cuts, played a significant role in shaping the market's response. Rather than signalling an aggressive pivot toward sustained monetary easing, the Federal Reserve suggested a wait-and-see approach to emerging economic data, tempering expectations for prolonged liquidity support.

Broader Implications for Investors and Portfolio Strategy

Lower policy rates often bolster assets sensitive to borrowing costs, as fixed-income yields decline and risk assets become comparatively more attractive. However, the post-meeting sell-off highlighted the complex interplay between monetary policy, risk sentiment, and secondary economic concerns such as tech sector performance and job market dynamics.

Analysts suggest that while reduced interest rates can theoretically support higher valuations in riskier investment classes, uncertainty around future Federal Reserve actions and global economic conditions continues to influence investor behaviour. As markets absorb the latest policy signals, participants remain highly attentive to upcoming economic data and central bank commentary.

Presented by Bybit Financial Limited, a Bermuda Monetary Authority-regulated company. This content is for informational purposes only. References such as the litecoin price are included to support market understanding, not as investment guidance.