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Political threat to bailout

DUBLIN (AP) — Political infighting engulfed Ireland yesterday, threatening to trigger a quick election and delay a massive EU-IMF bailout. Rebels from Prime Minister Brian Cowen's own party pressed to oust him and opposition leaders demanded an election before Christmas.

Despite the discontent, Cowen's Cabinet colleagues in the Fianna Fail party said they were confident the rebels have too few votes to pursue a no-confidence motion against Cowen.

At stake is the future course of the potentially 100 billion euro ($135 billion) European Union and International Monetary Fund rescue of Ireland, a nation heading toward bankruptcy next year because the government cannot pay an ever-escalating bill to save its state-backed banks.

Ireland's deficit this year is 32 percent of GDP, the highest in Europe since World War II. Its banks are running short of cash because they can't borrow on open markets. Analysts increasingly warn that Ireland's bank-bailout bill could ultimately reach 90 billion euros ($125 billion) — double the government's current forecast — because of defaults looming down the road, particularly in residential mortgages.

The Irish political and economic crisis, and its uncertain solution, drove up borrowing costs yesterday for Portugal, Spain, Greece and Italy, all of whom face their own mounting debt-financing struggles.

The Irish Cabinet gathered at Cowen's office to complete a four-year plan for unprecedented budget cuts — a condition of Ireland's international bailout. The plan, which proposes to slash 15 billion euros ($20 billion) from the country's 2011-14 budget deficits through a combination of cuts and tax hikes, is to be published today.

Transport Minister Noel Dempsey said the EU-IMF rescue aid couldn't flow until Ireland began slashing 6 billion euros ($8.2 billion) from its 2011 deficit.

"We don't have the luxury of time in relation to this," Dempsey said. "We asked for assistance. We were given that assistance on the basis that we were going to produce this four-year plan, that we were going to produce a budget, and that budget would pass. If we can't do that, then the assistance isn't there."