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Tropical disturbances develop southeast of Bermuda

Atlantic seven-day outlook

Three tropical disturbances are developing in the Atlantic southeast of Bermuda, according to the US National Hurricane Centre.

Of those, one has a 70 per cent chance of developing into a tropical depression within the next seven days.

They do not immediately threaten Bermuda and are being charted and monitored. Bermuda Weather Service has no local advisories.

An additional disturbance lies south of the island and is headed in the direction of the Gulf of Mexico.

The National Hurricane Centre classifies a tropical disturbance as a “discrete tropical weather system of apparently organised convection” — generally 100 to 300nautical miles in diameter.

Of the system most likely to develop further, the centre said: “A tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend while it moves towards the west-northwest or northwest at about 10mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic.”

Over the next seven days, the centre found that there is a 70 per cent chance this disruption could become a tropical depression.

The other three disturbances have a 40 per cent chance or less of becoming a tropical depression.

The Atlantic hurricane season has so far produced a single hurricane, Don, which formed in July. Three tropical storms have been named so far, and many more are expected, with some likely to become full hurricanes.

The US National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration forecast earlier this month that the likelihood of an above-normal hurricane season was about 60 per cent.

September and October are critical months in the season, which began on June 1.

• To learn more about the tropical disturbances, visit nhc.noaa.gov

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Published August 18, 2023 at 4:36 pm (Updated August 19, 2023 at 10:07 am)

Tropical disturbances develop southeast of Bermuda

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